Discussion in 'Tropical Weather' started by ForsythSnow, Jul 4, 2018.
not the best models but the ICON, CMC, and NAVGEM have Beryl around in the Bahamas
First ever Hurricane Beryl i believe
Forecast has it to 85 MPH by Friday night! Beryl continues to impress!
This storm blew up fast. There seems to be the chance by some models it survives longer than originally expected. I don't trust it too much, but the HMON shows Beryl peaking as a major hurricane. It could very well get that strong since there is an eye developing.
It's also so small. The hurricane wind radius is only 10 miles wide and the TS force winds are only 35. Too bad it's too far to fly in for another 2 days minimum.
Definitely RI per microwave estimates. Looks to be weakening per this but strengthening again per latest satellite imagery as there is new deep convection to the west of the center.
Now expected to peak at 100 mph. At 80 mph and 994 mb now.
Well this storm went from 0 to 60 to 10 real fast. Barely looks like a TS with a dislocated circulation now.
The storm degenerated but Beryl is not dead yet
Beryl is not dead by any means, but she's unlikely to make it to the SE coast based on model consensus showing a pretty easy recurve with no high to the north holding it in though S FL and the Outer Banks may have to watch and make sure it misses them.
Chances now 10/50.
Saw this yesterday and forgot to post. African dust may of had something to do with Beryl losing steam over the weekend.
Chances now 20/50.
Beryl's back as a subtropical storm.