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Disturbance 1

Discussion in 'Tropical Weather' started by MichaelAndrews, Oct 11, 2018.

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  1. MichaelAndrews

    MichaelAndrews Member

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    [​IMG]

    1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop over the
    west-central Caribbean Sea in a day or two. This system is expected
    to move slowly westward toward Central America through early next
    week. Environmental conditions are forecast to support some slow
    development, however, interaction with land could limit the chance
    of formation once the system approaches Central America on Monday or
    Tuesday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
     
  2. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Moderator

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    Good news is this should not make it to the Gulf.
     
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  3. pcbjr

    pcbjr Supporter Member

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    If it does, I'm resigning until Thanksgiving ... (having said that, now I can hear the whole board rooting for another Gulf storm .... LOL)
     
  4. BHS1975

    BHS1975 Supporter Member

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    You can fart and spawn a cat 4 these days.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
  5. NoSnowATL

    NoSnowATL Member

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    I sure hope not, I am done seeing people lose their homes/ life’s for awhile.
     
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  6. GeorgiaGirl

    GeorgiaGirl Member

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    Yeah I'm good. I'd be fine if there was no more major problems in the tropic.
     
  7. Henry2326

    Henry2326 Member

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    Screenshot_20181011-221705.jpg Screenshot_20181011-222553.jpg 967...ironically...may translate to 920 in the real world.

    Moves to the west in the model but spawns another low in Michael's breeding ground.
     
    Last edited: Oct 11, 2018
  8. MichaelAndrews

    MichaelAndrews Member

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    I'm hoping nothing develops, but this season has been.... strange
     
  9. Henry2326

    Henry2326 Member

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    Me too...watch week of 10/21.... CMC spins something up on 1022 and all the rest have lows floating in and out. Feels like dejavu....
     
  10. MichaelAndrews

    MichaelAndrews Member

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    Dropped to 0% now, nevermind!
     
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  11. Henry2326

    Henry2326 Member

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    Its back...

    Screenshot_20181013-214751.jpg
     
  12. Henry2326

    Henry2326 Member

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    Radar of the spot...

    Screenshot_20181013-221720.jpg
     
  13. Snowfan

    Snowfan Member

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    Not telling
    I don't think this can develop into a tropical cyclone.
     
  14. GeorgiaGirl

    GeorgiaGirl Member

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    It's headed to the area where shear has ripped up disturbances all season long, even if this was more impressive.
     
  15. accu35

    accu35 Member

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    Sure it can
     
  16. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Moderator

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    This thread has had 3 different disturbances. Locking since they are discussed in the main thread until one becomes an invest or is destined by models for becoming a storm.
     
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