The TWC specialist said he doesn't see this Arctic patter holding for more than 5 days! What's he smoking. Models look great still, IMO! Cheers
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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again
- Thread starter GaWx
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- inspired by mack
Dec 6th - cold chasing moisture
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Lol if anyone wants to look at the favorite model of some (CFSV2), it shows the cold lasting until the end of the month practically.
Holy Cow!!!
This is essentially saying that ATL could get a major sleet storm on the 100th anniversary practically to the day of the last major Dec ATL sleetstorm! Tony, wouldn't that be something?
RollTide18
Member
Hmm a December like 2010? Just in south Alabama there were a couple over running freezing rain episodes.
pcbjr
Member
Hmmm ... without editorial comment, other than ... 
The GFS has a cold-chasing moisture setup on Wednesday.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Yep some snow at 120
Cary_Snow95
Member
Western ridge much taller vs 06z
GFS has it snowing in Tennessee on Thursday.
It moves the snow into western North Carolina around Friday afternoon.
It moves the snow into western North Carolina around Friday afternoon.
Blocking looks good on 12z GFS also. Wonder what the Euro is missing or picking up on , that makes it different. Since this change starts in 5-6 days, this should be in the Euros wheelhouse.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Well the Euro has the similar look in the 5 day range, it is around 10 days where it was drastically different
I’ll take the GFS run for the glory.
Parker
Member
Bunch of cold air coming down at 180 hours!
Yep but at least the EPS still looked good, interesting to see what today's 12z Euro op looks like d10... A hiccup last night or not?
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Cary_Snow95
Member
Western Ridge not nearly as tall at 186.. Starting to restrengthen though
I think the pattern change to colder weather is almost a lock, big questions now, how long does it last and where does the trough axis setup. Cold suppressed or eventually allow moisture to link up with cold either way I am cautiously optimistic about December
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And looks to be restrengthening a little farther west which may actually allow more southwesterly flow aloft while the cold air still in place to hopefully create an over running event
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This month looks almost a lock to be the coldest December in 7 years.