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Wintry April 7 - 8th Mixed Bag Event

Discussion in 'General Weather' started by ForsythSnow, Apr 5, 2018.

  1. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Moderator

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    I hereby create this thread because it needs one and to curse the storm. :D

    Looks like it's got a severe aspect to it too so post here about anything severe related as well.
     
  2. Brent

    Brent Member

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    I'm all ready for my last cold rain for about 7-8 months :p
     
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  3. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorologist

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    We've been playing w/ house money in central NC since mid January, bring it on.
     
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  4. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

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    72F267CC-928B-4879-8E1F-08D489DAB476.png If the mixed bag contains heat and rain, this thread is money ! But the there’s the NAM:D
     
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  5. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

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    I think the NAM gives you snow! Get the milk and bread, stat! ;)
     
  6. Brent

    Brent Member

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    yeah if only... lol
     
  7. SimeonNC

    SimeonNC Supporter Member

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    I hope the snow expands westward lol on future NAM runs.
     
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  8. campamy

    campamy Member

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    Finally getting Nam'd this "winter" and it sucks because there's not even a slight chance it happens because CHA is this years snow-hole in the SE lol.
     
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  9. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Moderator

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    Nam looking better again. ZR in northern MS this time. Speed, timing, tilt, and moisture flow seems to be allowing the potential of backside like the models hinted at originally.
     
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  10. SimeonNC

    SimeonNC Supporter Member

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    Also, the low is further SW, I think.
     
  11. SimeonNC

    SimeonNC Supporter Member

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    2pm Saturday on 0z NAM
    [​IMG]
    2pm Saturday on 18z NAM
    [​IMG]
     
  12. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

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    A5D615EB-44B0-402D-99C0-0567C34AE9B6.png TWC Roxboro local forecast
     
  13. Brick Tamland

    Brick Tamland Member

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    And here comes the NAM to keep hope alive. This is such a crazy system.
     
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  14. Nomanslandva

    Nomanslandva Member

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    NAM 3k gives me slight :weenie:hope. 12k looked like crap. In this weird winter, a long way to go.
     
  15. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

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    I’ll send you some! The wind blowing cherry blossoms off of my tree will be epic!:weenie:
     
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  16. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorologist

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    SPC still keeps a legitimate risk for severe SE of Raleigh in the NWS RAH domain.

    RAH_swody2.png
     
  17. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorologist

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  18. SimeonNC

    SimeonNC Supporter Member

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    Holy balls!

    Sent from my Z983 using Tapatalk
     
  19. Kylo

    Kylo Member

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    Went from a wave riding a front to full fledged coastal. GFS is low 990's off Hatteras.

    gfs.prateptype_cat.conus.trend (2).gif
     
  20. Kylo

    Kylo Member

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    RGEM matches up with GFS, just tucked in a little closer. This would be painful if this was earlier in the winter and rain. prateptype.us_ma.png
     
  21. Kylo

    Kylo Member

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    RGEM is really impressive.

    500hv.conus.png
     
  22. Brick Tamland

    Brick Tamland Member

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    For real. Crazy that we are getting closer and closer to the zero hour and still have various options on the table with this system.
     
  23. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    If I lived in a NC/Va border county I'd be feeling pretty good about at least seeing some frozen precip... :D
     
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  24. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorologist

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    I still can't believe this actually happened... Heavy rain changed to heavy thundersnow and thundersleet mixed w/ graupel as far south as Moncure, Clayton, and Wilson in early May 1939, and snow managed to accumulate in Roxboro, Oxford, and Henderson in the middle of the day near high noon w/ a sun angle and insolation equivalent to what we see in August. So much for that sun angle and warm ground temps precluding accumulation. ;)
    The big takeaway here (as we've also seen in other storms this year) ground temps, sun angle, etc. are pretty irrelevant if the precipitation is heavy enough and you're encased w/ thick cloud cover.
    May 2 1939 NC Snowmap.png
     
    Last edited: Apr 6, 2018
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  25. MichaelJ

    MichaelJ Member

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    Yep this looks like a Frosty special :)
     
  26. Brick Tamland

    Brick Tamland Member

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    Would be awesome to see this happen again. This system seems to be similar.
     
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  27. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Moderator

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    Lol the models still can't pin down the low track or speed. Each run of each model sends it further south and slower it seems. Back down to south or central GA when 2 days ago it was going through the far northern parts of the state.
     
  28. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Can't get the pic to post but the GFS sounding for tomorrow is freaking close here....
     
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  29. Brick Tamland

    Brick Tamland Member

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    Seems it is moving back to where it was before when it had a bigger shot at winter precip for NC.
     
  30. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Moderator

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    Lol don't tell me more about how NC is going to get snow. Wish it would hit the brakes by about 12 hours.
     

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