12k NAM /latest run! Hug the NAM! Yes i know, there's not snow! Boom! Coutesy AmWX!
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Wintry 2/3-2/4 Mixed Bag NC, SC, NE GA
- Thread starter Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
- Start date
12k NAM /latest run! Hug the NAM! Yes i know, there's not snow! Boom! Coutesy AmWX!
ForsythSnow
Moderator
You know that's the 12KM NAM and we are in a very short range, so use the 3 KM. It's better. Here is where the run expects sleet and ZR. Mind I said sleet too. Second image shows why.
gawxnative
Member
You know that's the 12KM NAM and we are in a very short range, so use the 3 KM. It's better. Here is where the run expects sleet and ZR. Mind I said sleet too. Second image shows why.
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gawxnative
Member
Well at least you made it into the SWS that FFC just issued...You know that's the 12KM NAM and we are in a very short range, so use the 3 KM. It's better. Here is where the run expects sleet and ZR. Mind I said sleet too. Second image shows why.
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That looks even better for MBY!! There's a lot of high lollipops in NEGA!You know that's the 12KM NAM and we are in a very short range, so use the 3 KM. It's better. Here is where the run expects sleet and ZR. Mind I said sleet too. Second image shows why.
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The NAM shows wintry precip near Chattanooga yet there's not even a SWS out for that area.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Yep, and they now have Forsyth getting a lot more time than expected. Have to see the specifics tonight to see if the models are going to underplay the CAD or get it right.
packfan98
Moderator
Here's the best candidates for ice accrual. Take a look at where this map has below freezing temps.
Looks like Georgia is out of the game.Here's the best candidates for ice accrual. Take a look at where this map has below freezing temps.
Kylo
Member
RGEM is getting more icy each run
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Yeah, latest run only gives me .85 of accumulated ice!!! Glad it's on an island!
Kylo
Member
I don't know. The GFS should be concerning, it's usually a little warm in situations like this. And it's been getting more icy too.
No one wants that! I need my trees! Verbatim it's prob not right. But it just confirms the colder stouter wedge trend shown on the NAM
Figured I'd post this as a reminder.
Read the GSP discussion, mentioned it could get windy at some point tomorrow! RGEM has my back yard in the 2-3 category
ForsythSnow
Moderator
HRRR may be looking colder each run, and also seems to keep temps 33-36 and rain here. Seems very close, and if we keep the winds out of the NE like it shows, there are going to be issues, especially if the low goes south and pulls even more cold air down.
With temps forecast to be above freezing pretty much everywhere by noon tomorrow I would think this will be a low impact event ?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Not according to the other runs. You can't go by that one map posted ealier, but all of the SR models and their trends. If they go the Here's what and trend colder, low impact is going to turn into ice storm. It all comes down to wind direction, low temps, temps when they wetbulb, low track, and start time.
Aren't you forecast to be 45+ tomorrow afternoon ?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I looked at the models and it's at the end of the day, like evening when the rain stops.