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Wintry Jan 29-30 Possible Light Snow

B

Brick Tamland

Guest
GFS showed snow for eastern NC, and ICON shows it, too. First popped up today on the models, so it might have a legit shot.
 
Lol Brick gave it the kiss of death. Models will slowly catch on to the colder pattern and fantasy snow should start showing up. Probably some big dogs here in the next few days IMO
 
The picture of the models that you was referring to in the Feb forum says it’s valid for feb 3. So isn’t that for next weekend into Monday for your area? Just curious, I haven’t a clue how to read the maps
 
That is showing snow fall for the whole week. The snow in eastern NC should be from Monday/Tuesday.
 
How’s this looking?
 
How’s this looking?

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
314 AM EST Sat Jan 27 2018

NCZ007>011-024>028-041>043-078-281030-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-
Edgecombe-Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Wayne-
314 AM EST Sat Jan 27 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

There is a slight chance of wintry weather late Monday night into
Tuesday morning from the Triangle area to the north and east.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$
 
How’s this looking?
Well Rah NWS did issue a HWO for a light event, their discussion states possible light zr since it's a classic cold chasing moisture and drying aloft to inhibit dendritic growth

There is a slight chance of wintry weather late Monday night into Tuesday morning from the Triangle area to the north and east.
 
Novelty stuff. But Bricks threads always produce and some bring the _____!
 
Well, with the way things are looking here on the models, we should be happy if we see any snow from this. Nothing else showing up on the models for here.
 
Definitely a legit chance of snow flurries from Rocky Mount to Roanoke Rapids and points NE into the northern tidewater. Can't rule out some light snow accumulations in areas like Edenton and Elizabeth City Tuesday morning. I guess a few token flakes are possible but unlikely in the Triangle.
 
This should be a decent hybrid NWFS event for the mtns. Some of the higher peaks will go over 6 and most of the northern mtn counties will rack up 2 to 3. Even the valley floors could skim a inch down in Asheville. They have some extra synoptic features to play with for this event. And its those features that have a 20 to 30 percent of spitting a flake down here and as Webb alluded to much higher chance into the northern coastal plain.
This is just a way to pass time early this week, never was expected to be a big deal.
 
12z Nam 3km
sn10_acc.us_ma.png
 
Brick bringing it home for the mtns; he scores yet again, the force is strong with this jedi..
 
Brick always brings the magic when he starts threads:

Latest from RAH for tonight:


PoP has also been increased into the chance range for rain/snow
showers for tonight, given the expected development of a band of
scattered to numerous showers along the Arctic front. Measurable
liquid equivalent amounts are expected to remain very light,
however, with a few hundredths of an inch or less anticipated. Any
resultant snow amounts would be even lighter - perhaps a scattered
coating on car tops, etc, across the nrn Piedmont, where
precipitation intensity and likelihood of snow will be greatest, for
an hour in any given location. Winds will also increase with the
frontal passage, with following CAA/mixing and surface gusts between
25-30 mph.
 
Brick always brings the magic when he starts threads:

Latest from RAH for tonight:


PoP has also been increased into the chance range for rain/snow
showers for tonight, given the expected development of a band of
scattered to numerous showers along the Arctic front. Measurable
liquid equivalent amounts are expected to remain very light,
however, with a few hundredths of an inch or less anticipated. Any
resultant snow amounts would be even lighter - perhaps a scattered
coating on car tops, etc, across the nrn Piedmont, where
precipitation intensity and likelihood of snow will be greatest, for
an hour in any given location. Winds will also increase with the
frontal passage, with following CAA/mixing and surface gusts between
25-30 mph.
Well the good 'ol HRRRRRRRRR tries to bring a band of snow across the state tonight, heck who knows may see some flakes after all.... I know the temp is dropping like a rock at the homestead, down to 38.6 already.
 
Well the good 'ol HRRRRRRRRR tries to bring a band of snow across the state tonight, heck who knows may see some flakes after all.... I know the temp is dropping like a rock at the homestead, down to 38.6 already.
Hrrr does look good with a decent band across the state.

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