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Pattern Oppressive Ornery Obstinate Opposite October

To be honest I think Irma started it (after a couple of days of it being very comfortable, it got very humid) but tonight will at least be the last day of is this early August or July with the low temps? It would have been in the high 90s if it was a mere six-eight weeks earlier.

It seems like at the very least after this week it will at least not be getting very hot after the coming cool spell and above average is not necessarily 90s anymore.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
To be honest I think Irma started it (after a couple of days of it being very comfortable, it got very humid) but tonight will at least be the last day of is this early August or July with the low temps? It would have been in the high 90s if it was a mere six-eight weeks earlier.

It seems like at the very least after this week it will at least not be getting very hot after the coming cool spell and above average is not necessarily 90s anymore.
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I totally blame Irma. Before irma, it was nice and cool. 40s in early September !
 
SoutheastRidge said:
I totally blame Irma. Before irma, it was nice and cool. 40s in early September !
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the same was true here honestly... the summer wasn't that bad(tons of rain), then Harvey happened and everyone thought summer was over. August was actually the first below normal month for temperatures in over a year...

But it came back with a vengeance after Irma(didn't rain for a month after such a wet summer) until the front this week
 
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Well regardless of what warmth we had, the pattern is looking good end of month. ATM.
 
All aboard the CMC if you want low 40s soon and a freeze in the mountains!
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Only one model run, and by no means would it warrant a trip to the bank, but at least AN is scoured away on the super ensemble ... :D

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This comes with some transient teleconnection support ...

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Admittedly, there is a lot more than this going on, so take it with the necessary grain of salt, and ...
We'll see ... :rolleyes:
 
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I can live with the GFS from 78 to 312. It doesn't stay below average, but when it does go above it's not well above then and that doesn't mean mid 90s or 90s at all, it means mid 80s at most.

Thankfully its the 300+ hour GFS I can't live with, meaning if I want something different, just wait until next time!
 
olhausen said:
This morning my heater kicked on for this first time since spring! Looks like tomorrow will warm back up a little but then a front comes through late Sunday that should eventually cool off everyone on this forum!
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I love the eventual optimism for "everyone" ... LOL ... pcbjr ... :cool:
 
Confidence for a late month pattern change is increasing as a huge signal for a recurving typhoon a little over a week from now on the EPS, combined w/ background state changes, should lead a large-scale trough over the east-central US by after the 25th or so...
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Webberweather53 said:
Confidence for a late month pattern change is increasing as a huge signal for a recurving typhoon a little over a week from now on the EPS, combined w/ background state changes, should lead a large-scale trough over the east-central US by after the 25th or so...
View attachment 1397
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Webb,
As I mentioned this AM (a page back, I think), there are indices suggesting a change ... thanks for pointing out the potential trigger!
Best!
Phil
PS - Was scratching my head on the why ... really appreciate the insight! ... ;)
 
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pcbjr said:
Webb,
As I mentioned this AM (a page back, I think), there are indices suggesting a change ... thanks for pointing out the potential trigger!
Best!
Phil
PS - Was scratching my head on the why ... really appreciate the insight! ... ;)
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Yeah, certainly can't rule out more than 1 either... Seen a few EPS control runs w/ 2 recurving typhoons during the 3rd week of October, which would be even more conducive to a huge trough east of the Rockies near the end of the month and rolling into Nov
 
Storm5 said:
Typhoons are cranking in the Pacific . Let's recurve these bad boys and blow this pattern up
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JB, is that you!?
Tell us how you called for this to happen in the spring! :(
 
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