• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Major Hurricane Maria

This gonna be interesting

gfs_z500_mslp_atl_35.png
 
GFS all in with a major hurricane near Puerto Rico the same time Jose is hitting New England next week

Looks like it will come down to what Jose does, if he hangs around he leaves the door open for 96L/Maria to recurve and miss the US

If he just recurves and leaves quickly then Maria probably threatens the US

Or the GFS hangs a dying Jose out near NYC which leaves a path for Maria to hit NYC
 
Last edited:
UKMET intensifies 96L into a category 2, 973mb hurricane and is just north of the Leeward Islands in 6 days


NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 13.1N 51.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 17.09.2017 48 13.1N 51.1W 1008 29
1200UTC 17.09.2017 60 13.6N 53.7W 1006 33
0000UTC 18.09.2017 72 14.2N 55.1W 1003 37
1200UTC 18.09.2017 84 14.9N 56.3W 1001 41
0000UTC 19.09.2017 96 15.5N 57.2W 994 53
1200UTC 19.09.2017 108 16.4N 58.2W 988 59
0000UTC 20.09.2017 120 17.2N 59.5W 983 60
1200UTC 20.09.2017 132 17.9N 60.8W 980 59
0000UTC 21.09.2017 144 18.4N 61.9W 973 66
 
GFS all in with a major hurricane near Puerto Rico the same time Jose is hitting New England next week

Looks like it will come down to what Jose does, if he hangs around he leaves the door open for 96L/Maria to recurve and miss the US

If he just recurves and leaves quickly then Maria probably threatens the US

Or the GFS hangs a dying Jose out near NYC which leaves a path for Maria to hit NYC
06z GFS gets Jose out of the way and allows Maria to turn back and landfall in SC.... you're spot on, we won't have any idea until we see what Jose does and heck even modeling struggling with that at this point
gfs_mslp_wind_seus_42.png
 
06z GFS gets Jose out of the way and allows Maria to turn back and landfall in SC.... you're spot on, we won't have any idea until we see what Jose does and heck even modeling struggling with that at this point
gfs_mslp_wind_seus_42.png

I do not approve. BUT thankfully the models are in their clueless mode.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
I do not approve. BUT thankfully the models are in their clueless mode.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Neither do I. And yes, it is too far out to know, but watching trends and H5 patterns will help us know where it could go. If we keep seeing runs like that, it will be another long 2 weeks.
 
Can anyone guess where this is headed this run? I am sure you know already by how it looks. :( Looks almost like it is being slung NW like Irma was, but in a different area by a different kind of upper level disturbance. This one breaks off of Jose it seems.
gfs_z500a_atl_37.png
 
Can anyone guess where this is headed this run? I am sure you know already by how it looks. :( Looks almost like it is being slung NW like Irma was, but in a different area by a different kind of upper level disturbance. This one breaks off of Jose it seems.
gfs_z500a_atl_37.png
I was about to post same image, next frame starts to verify this...... gfs says if jose doesn't get you I'll send Maria in good grief
gfs_z500aNorm_atl_38.png
 
I was about to post same image, next frame starts to verify this...... gfs says if jose doesn't get you I'll send Maria in good grief
gfs_z500aNorm_atl_38.png
Lol yeah Jose is going to be areal pain or helper dependent on if he lives another day. If we see Jose survive, we may get interaction between the two and they will be pulled away. However, if they stay separate, we may have a double hit on Jose unless a trough kicks him away :confused:
 
Lol yeah Jose is going to be areal pain or helper dependent on if he lives another day. If we see Jose survive, we may get interaction between the two and they will be pulled away. However, if they stay separate, we may have a double hit on Jose unless a trough kicks him away :confused:
Yeah freakin unreal, this going to be an interesting couple of weeks most likely..
 
Back
Top