Shaggy
Member
Not sure if its 94L but the gfs has been flirting with a system in the western Atlantic eastern gulf the last couple runs....super long range though.
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THAT WE HAVE NOT, I JUST HOPE ITS NOTHING LIKE DORIAN. IT WAS A PAIN TO TRACK AND SUCHYou know what we havent seen lately is the long track Caribbean crusier.
Euro doesn't have it but then again Euro didn't have Dorian for days either..
This might be another long tracker, rest up all
AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS TO BE HEADED STRAIGHT FOR THE CARIBBEAN , OF COURSE THIS CAN AND MAY CHANGE
View attachment 23277
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred
miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this
system is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the
middle of next week while the system moves westward across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
FV3 looks like same song, same dance. Large WAR sitting over top with a retrograding ULL in front providing excellent outflow.
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred
miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this
system is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the
middle of next week while the system moves westward across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Today....may be not tomorrow....Still ots.
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Today....may be not tomorrow....
Absolutely....this far out, just the fact majority have it there is the point.At this range I simply look to see if we can get the ball on the court. That means somewhere in the Caribbean or southwest Atlantic. Most models put it in that general vicinity so we wait to see what it says when it gets there.
To say one way or the other it's a fish or a landfall this early is just not possible.