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Tropical Disturbance 1

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two_atl_5d1.png


1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop over the
west-central Caribbean Sea in a day or two. This system is expected
to move slowly westward toward Central America through early next
week. Environmental conditions are forecast to support some slow
development, however, interaction with land could limit the chance
of formation once the system approaches Central America on Monday or
Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
 
two_atl_5d1.png


1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop over the
west-central Caribbean Sea in a day or two. This system is expected
to move slowly westward toward Central America through early next
week. Environmental conditions are forecast to support some slow
development, however, interaction with land could limit the chance
of formation once the system approaches Central America on Monday or
Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Good news is this should not make it to the Gulf.
 
Screenshot_20181011-221705.jpg Screenshot_20181011-222553.jpg 967...ironically...may translate to 920 in the real world.

Moves to the west in the model but spawns another low in Michael's breeding ground.
 
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It's headed to the area where shear has ripped up disturbances all season long, even if this was more impressive.
 
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